Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Carrarese had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Carrarese win was 1-0 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
-1.21) 
0.33) 
