Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guijuelo win with a probability of 43.57%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Ourense CF had a probability of 26.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guijuelo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Ourense CF win it was 0-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.