Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Huesca had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Huesca win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
