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CL
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Celtic Park
AA

Celtic
2 - 0
AZ

Furuhashi (12'), Letschert (61' og.)
Ralston (63'), McCarthy (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

de Wit (48')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 52.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 23.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawAZ Alkmaar
52.76%23.76%23.47%
Both teams to score 54.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.06%46.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.81%69.18%
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25%17.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.57%48.43%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.75%34.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.05%70.94%
Score Analysis
    Celtic 52.75%
    AZ Alkmaar 23.47%
    Draw 23.76%
CelticDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 9.73%
2-0 @ 9.08%
3-1 @ 5.61%
3-0 @ 5.24%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 2.43%
4-0 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 52.75%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 6.08%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.51%
1-2 @ 6.03%
0-2 @ 3.49%
1-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 23.47%

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