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Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
Apr 1, 2021 at 9.40am UK
Bluetongue Stadium, Gosford
AU

Central Coast
2 - 1
Adelaide United

Bozanic (72'), Kuol (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yengi (48')
Cavallo (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawAdelaide United
38.15%25.21%36.63%
Both teams to score 56.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.34%46.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.07%68.93%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89%24.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.6%58.4%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07%24.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.44%59.56%
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 38.15%
    Adelaide United 36.63%
    Draw 25.21%
Central Coast MarinersDrawAdelaide United
1-0 @ 8.55%
2-1 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 6.08%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.03%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.15%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.01%
2-2 @ 5.87%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.35%
1-2 @ 8.25%
0-2 @ 5.8%
1-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.69%
1-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 0.94%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 36.63%

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