SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 58.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
58.75% ( -0.08) | 22.36% ( 0.02) | 18.89% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.91% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.45% ( 0.02) | 46.55% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.18% ( 0.02) | 68.82% ( -0.02) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.5% ( -0.02) | 15.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.59% ( -0.04) | 44.41% ( 0.04) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.43% ( 0.08) | 38.57% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.69% ( 0.08) | 75.31% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 58.74% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.36% | 0-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 18.89% |
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