Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 55.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Zenit St Petersburg had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.86%), while for a Zenit St Petersburg win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 18% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelsea in this match.
