There is simply no downplaying the importance of this match for Cheltenham, and anything less than a victory will go down as a hugely disappointing result. We are expecting a tight game on Tuesday but are backing Cheltenham to navigate their way to an important three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
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