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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 63.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 15.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Chippenham Town win it was 1-0 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
15.87% ( -0.44) | 20.27% ( -0.06) | 63.86% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.51% ( -0.59) | 42.49% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.11% ( -0.59) | 64.89% ( 0.59) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% ( -0.91) | 39.74% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.58% ( -0.85) | 76.41% ( 0.85) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.37% ( -0.04) | 12.62% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.25% ( -0.08) | 38.75% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.92% Total : 15.87% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.27% | 0-2 @ 10.74% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.26)1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 7.41% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 6.84% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.84% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.35% Total : 63.86% |
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