SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 73.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Banbury United had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 3-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Banbury United win it was 1-2 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Banbury United |
73.1% ( 4.47) | 15.64% ( -2.14) | 11.26% ( -2.33) |
| Both teams to score 56.37% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.72% ( 4.48) | 31.28% ( -4.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.28% ( 5.12) | 52.72% ( -5.12) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.61% ( 2.09) | 7.39% ( -2.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.37% ( 5.17) | 26.63% ( -5.17) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.86% ( -0.55) | 39.14% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.14% ( -0.52) | 75.86% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Banbury United |
| 2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.46)3-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.55)3-1 @ 8% ( 0.4)1-0 @ 7.53% ( -1.08)4-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.85)4-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.73)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.68)5-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.61)4-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.31)5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.27)6-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.39)6-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.35)Other @ 3.76% Total : 73.1% | 1-1 @ 7.07% ( -1.14) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.28)0-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.77)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 15.64% | 1-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.59) 0-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.77)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.39)1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.2)Other @ 1.57% Total : 11.26% |
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