SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 52.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for King's Lynn Town had a probability of 22.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a King's Lynn Town win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
52.38% ( 0.01) | 25.14% ( -0.01) | 22.48% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 48.7% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.53% ( 0.04) | 53.47% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25% ( 0.04) | 74.99% ( -0.04) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% ( 0.02) | 20.41% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.15% ( 0.04) | 52.85% ( -0.04) |
| King's Lynn Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.19% ( 0.02) | 38.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.46% ( 0.02) | 75.54% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 52.37% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.48% Total : 22.48% |
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