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National League North | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2024 at 1pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
4 - 1
Southport

Ellis (21', 51'), Calveley (38'), Wilson (90+4')
Hall (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Proctor (41')
Quansah (18'), Proctor (70')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-1 Chorley
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-4 Hereford
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Southport had a probability of 24.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawSouthport
50.92% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.91% (0.107 0.11) 24.17% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 51.28% (-0.432 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.98% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)51.02% (0.52 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12% (-0.454 -0.45)72.88% (0.458 0.46)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.96% (-0.202 -0.2)20.04% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.75% (-0.327 -0.33)52.25% (0.331 0.33)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.13% (-0.375 -0.38)35.87% (0.38 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.36% (-0.389 -0.39)72.64% (0.393 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 50.92%
    Southport 24.17%
    Draw 24.9%
ChorleyDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 11.55% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.29% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 50.92%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.37% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.17%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-1 Chorley
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 1-2 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 1-1 Hereford
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-1 Chorley
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 0-4 Bolton
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Chorley 0-0 Wigan
Friday, July 19 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Southport 1-4 Hereford
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-0 Southport
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Needham Market 1-2 Southport
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 3-1 Alfreton
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Cliftonville 1-1 Southport
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Southport 2-0 Oldham
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3


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