SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 52.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Cliftonville had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Cliftonville win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Crusaders |
22.54% ( -0.09) | 25.05% ( -0.03) | 52.41% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 49.03% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.92% ( 0.02) | 53.08% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.34% ( 0.02) | 74.66% ( -0.02) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.47% ( -0.07) | 38.53% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.72% ( -0.07) | 75.27% ( 0.07) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( 0.05) | 20.24% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.42% ( 0.08) | 52.58% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.54% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.3% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 52.4% |
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