Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 13, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Azteca
We said: Club America 1-0 Queretaro
America won the league last season in part because they bounced back quickly after a defeat, and we expect to see their resilience shine through at home, where they are usually at their best.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 63.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 15.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
| Result |
| Club America | Draw | Queretaro |
63.58% ( 0.51) | 20.48% ( -0.13) | 15.94% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 52.08% ( -0.41) |
| 56.68% ( -0.11) | 43.32% ( 0.11) |
| 34.29% ( -0.11) | 65.71% ( 0.11) |
| 87.04% ( 0.12) | 12.96% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.56% ( 0.24) | 39.44% ( -0.24) |
| 59.84% ( -0.55) | 40.16% ( 0.55) |
