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CL
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 23, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolas Leoz
M

Libertad
2 - 4
Medellin

Martinez (4'), Ferreira (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Johan Angulo Riascos (37'), H. Estupinan Riascos (60'), Reina (63'), Daniel Monges Avalos (71')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Club Libertad and Independiente Medellin.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Club LibertadDrawIndependiente Medellin
53.15%25.55%21.3%
Both teams to score 46.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.86%56.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.8%77.2%
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83%21.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97%54.03%
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.49%41.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.99%78.01%
Score Analysis
    Club Libertad 53.14%
    Independiente Medellin 21.3%
    Draw 25.55%
Club LibertadDrawIndependiente Medellin
1-0 @ 13.64%
2-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 9.31%
3-0 @ 5.48%
3-1 @ 4.82%
4-0 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 53.14%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 8.79%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 7.72%
1-2 @ 5.27%
0-2 @ 3.4%
1-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.2%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 21.3%


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