Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.