SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Loughgall |
49.9% ( -0.61) | 23.64% ( 0.19) | 26.47% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 57.64% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.31% ( -0.51) | 43.69% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.92% ( -0.5) | 66.08% ( 0.5) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( -0.42) | 17.61% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.8% ( -0.74) | 48.2% ( 0.73) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.96% ( 0.05) | 30.04% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.84% ( 0.06) | 66.16% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Loughgall |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.76% Total : 49.9% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.12% Total : 26.47% |
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