Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Colombia win was 1-0 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
