MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 18:37:28
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Thursday, March 28
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CN
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 14, 2021 at 1am UK
colombia
EN

Colombia
1 - 0
Ecuador

Cardona (42')
Uribe (25'), Munoz (79'), Borre (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Valencia (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
ColombiaDrawEcuador
47.75%23.81%28.44%
Both teams to score 58.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.97%43.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.57%65.43%
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81%18.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.81%49.19%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75%28.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04%63.96%
Score Analysis
    Colombia 47.75%
    Ecuador 28.44%
    Draw 23.81%
ColombiaDrawEcuador
2-1 @ 9.43%
1-0 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 7.46%
3-1 @ 5.36%
3-0 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 47.75%
1-1 @ 11.07%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 7%
0-1 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 4.11%
1-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 1.73%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 28.44%

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