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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
May 1, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio B.G. Estanislao Lopez

Colon
2 - 0
Arsenal

Bianchi (14'), Farias (45+1')
Lertora (28'), Farias (60'), Miguel Rodriguez (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

G (89')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Colon and Arsenal Sarandi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.

Result
ColonDrawArsenal Sarandi
44.1%26.09%29.82%
Both teams to score 52.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.88%52.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.16%73.84%
Colon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.48%23.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.43%57.57%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.07%31.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.62%68.38%
Score Analysis
    Colon 44.09%
    Arsenal Sarandi 29.82%
    Draw 26.08%
ColonDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 7.86%
3-1 @ 4.33%
3-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 44.09%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.51%
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.58%
1-2 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 29.82%

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