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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 5
May 8, 2021 at 6.30pm UK
Columbus Crew Stadium
DU

Columbus Crew
3 - 1
DC United

Zelarayan (20'), Brillant (63' og.), Alfaro (83' og.)
Afful (29'), Williams (30'), Wright-Phillips (36'), Francis (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kamara (82')
Rodrigo Asad (42')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawDC United
55.55%23.46%21%
Both teams to score 51.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64%48.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5%70.51%
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.75%17.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.43%47.57%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.62%37.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.83%74.17%
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 55.54%
    DC United 21%
    Draw 23.45%
Columbus CrewDrawDC United
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-0 @ 9.96%
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 5.83%
3-1 @ 5.74%
3-2 @ 2.82%
4-0 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 55.54%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 6.45%
2-2 @ 4.82%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.45%
0-1 @ 6.35%
1-2 @ 5.49%
0-2 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 21%

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