Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
