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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Oct 18, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Pacaembu
F

Corinthians
1 - 5
Flamengo

Gil (64')
Xavier (41'), Camacho (45'), Otero (48'), Vieira (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ribeiro (32'), Vitinho (52'), Bernardo de Souza (58'), Henrique (71'), Diego (86')
Bernardo de Souza (42'), Henrique (45+1'), Maia (63'), Luis (77'), Gerson (90+2')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Flamengo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawFlamengo
28.41%25%46.59%
Both teams to score 54.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69%48.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54%70.45%
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01%30.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71%67.29%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22%20.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58%53.41%
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 28.41%
    Flamengo 46.59%
    Draw 25%
CorinthiansDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 7.54%
2-1 @ 6.94%
2-0 @ 4.42%
3-1 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.13%
3-0 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 28.41%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 6.44%
2-2 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 10.11%
1-2 @ 9.31%
0-2 @ 7.95%
1-3 @ 4.88%
0-3 @ 4.16%
2-3 @ 2.86%
1-4 @ 1.92%
0-4 @ 1.64%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 46.59%


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