Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
