Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cremonese in this match.
-0.13) 
0.01) 
