SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
29.96% ( 0.32) | 24.19% ( 0.29) | 45.84% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 58.39% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.11% ( -1.14) | 43.89% ( 1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.72% ( -1.13) | 66.28% ( 1.13) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% ( -0.36) | 27.64% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.81% ( -0.46) | 63.18% ( 0.46) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.69% ( -0.7) | 19.3% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.94% ( -1.17) | 51.06% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.96% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.18% Total : 45.84% |
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