Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia Under-21s win with a probability of 43%. A win for England Under-21s had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest England Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
