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CL
Serie A | Gameweek 10
Dec 6, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Ezio Scida
NL

Crotone
0 - 4
Napoli


Cuomo (45'), Pereira (53'), Reca (67')
Petriccione (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Insigne (31'), Lozano (58'), Demme (76'), Petagna (90+1')
Koulibaly (6'), Lobotka (81'), Politano (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 18.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
CrotoneDrawNapoli
18.06%21.99%59.95%
Both teams to score 51.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.78%46.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48%68.52%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.68%39.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.98%76.02%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85%15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.54%43.46%
Score Analysis
    Crotone 18.06%
    Napoli 59.94%
    Draw 21.98%
CrotoneDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 5.51%
2-1 @ 4.88%
2-0 @ 2.57%
3-1 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.06%
1-1 @ 10.44%
0-0 @ 5.9%
2-2 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.98%
0-1 @ 11.18%
0-2 @ 10.61%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-3 @ 6.71%
1-3 @ 6.27%
0-4 @ 3.18%
1-4 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.92%
2-4 @ 1.39%
0-5 @ 1.21%
1-5 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 59.94%

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