SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 52.13%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
52.13% ( -0.01) | 23.4% ( 0.13) | 24.47% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.42% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.62% ( -0.66) | 44.38% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.25% ( -0.65) | 66.75% ( 0.65) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( -0.25) | 17.04% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.81% ( -0.44) | 47.19% ( 0.45) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.01% ( -0.45) | 32% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.55% ( -0.52) | 68.46% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.96% Total : 52.13% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.4% | 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 24.47% |
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