Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
