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National League North | Gameweek 45
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Blackwell Meadows

Darlington
3 - 1
Farsley Celtic

Lawlor (53'), Rutledge (61'), Main (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Atkinson (83')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and Farsley Celtic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Darlington 2-0 Southport
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-0 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.

Result
DarlingtonDrawFarsley Celtic
57.36% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 23.1% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 19.53% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.65% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.22% (0.009999999999998 0.01)48.77% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.12% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)70.88% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)16.75% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)46.69% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.84% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)39.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.13% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)75.87% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Darlington 57.35%
    Farsley Celtic 19.53%
    Draw 23.1%
DarlingtonDrawFarsley Celtic
1-0 @ 11.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 57.35%
1-1 @ 10.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.1%
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 19.53%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Darlington 2-0 Southport
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-3 Darlington
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 0-3 Chorley
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 3-2 Darlington
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-0 P'boro Sports
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-2 Darlington
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-0 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-0 P'boro Sports
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 3-1 Farsley Celtic
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-0 Southport
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 4-1 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, March 23 at 3.30pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 3-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North


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