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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 27, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
ID

Defensa
1 - 1
Independiente

Romero (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Escobar (11')
Ortiz (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawIndependiente del Valle
48.99%22.64%28.37%
Both teams to score 62.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.43%37.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.2%59.8%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34%15.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.31%44.69%
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.49%25.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.64%60.36%
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 48.99%
    Independiente del Valle 28.37%
    Draw 22.63%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawIndependiente del Valle
2-1 @ 9.38%
1-0 @ 7.41%
2-0 @ 6.87%
3-1 @ 5.8%
3-0 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 3.96%
4-1 @ 2.69%
4-0 @ 1.97%
4-2 @ 1.84%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 48.99%
1-1 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 6.41%
0-0 @ 3.99%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 6.91%
0-1 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 3.73%
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.92%
0-3 @ 1.7%
1-4 @ 1.08%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 28.37%

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