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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Jan 18, 2021 at 12.45am UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
MW

Defensor
1 - 1
Wanderers

Poggi (54')
Mallo Blanco (23'), Gonzalez (74'), Ivanov (90+2'), (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hernandez (90+5')
Bueno (38')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Montevideo Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawMontevideo Wanderers
37.52%26.42%36.06%
Both teams to score 52.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01%51.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27%73.72%
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09%26.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76%62.23%
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24%27.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.66%63.34%
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 37.52%
    Montevideo Wanderers 36.06%
    Draw 26.41%
Defensor SportingDrawMontevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 8.25%
2-0 @ 6.44%
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-0 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 37.52%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 7.47%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 9.57%
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-2 @ 6.13%
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 36.06%

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