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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 1, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
0 - 2
River Plate


Rojo (42'), Cardacio (45+1'), Rodriguez (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Montiel (60'), Nicolas Borbas Silva (90+2')
Rodriguez (43'), Ospitaleche (49'), Piriz (61'), Arezo (67'), Viera (74'), Galletto Lopez (78')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawRiver Plate
34.77%27.93%37.31%
Both teams to score 47.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.98%58.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.3%78.7%
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.47%31.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07%67.93%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.06%29.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.95%66.05%
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 34.76%
    River Plate 37.3%
    Draw 27.93%
Defensor SportingDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 10.89%
2-1 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 6.29%
3-1 @ 2.92%
3-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 34.76%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.44%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.93%
0-1 @ 11.38%
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 6.87%
1-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 1.84%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.3%

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