SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Denmark | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Norway had a probability of 17.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Norway win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Denmark | Draw | Norway |
59.77% ( -0.08) | 22.36% ( 0.03) | 17.87% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.06% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.94% ( -0.05) | 48.07% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.77% ( -0.05) | 70.23% ( 0.04) |
| Denmark Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.31% ( -0.04) | 15.69% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.26% ( -0.08) | 44.74% ( 0.08) |
| Norway Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.38% ( 0.02) | 40.62% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.78% ( 0.02) | 77.22% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Denmark | Draw | Norway |
| 1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 59.77% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.35% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 17.87% |
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