SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Damac had a probability of 19.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.81%) and 0-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Damac win it was 2-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Damac | Draw | Al-Nassr |
19.15% ( 0.01) | 20.33% ( 0.03) | 60.52% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.34% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.05% ( -0.12) | 36.96% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.86% ( -0.13) | 59.14% ( 0.13) |
| Damac Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.33% ( -0.05) | 32.67% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.78% ( -0.06) | 69.22% ( 0.07) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.13% ( -0.04) | 11.87% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.84% ( -0.1) | 37.16% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Damac | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 5.17% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 19.15% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.33% | 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 7% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.26% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 4.27% Total : 60.52% |
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