SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 38.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.74%) and 2-0 (4.91%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
39.25% ( -0.01) | 22.66% ( -0.05) | 38.09% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 66.71% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.91% ( 0.26) | 34.09% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.03% ( 0.3) | 55.96% ( -0.3) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( 0.11) | 18.07% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.01% ( 0.18) | 48.98% ( -0.18) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.42% ( 0.14) | 18.58% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.15% ( 0.24) | 49.85% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 39.25% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.66% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 38.09% |
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