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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 6
Oct 18, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Dnipro Arena

Dnipro-1
2 - 0
Desna

Nazarenko (2'), Dovbyk (48' pen.)
Adamyuk (44'), Ihnatenko (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mostovyi (31'), Kartushov (62')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Dnipro-1 and Desna Chernihiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.

Result
Dnipro-1DrawDesna Chernihiv
39.13%25.38%35.48%
Both teams to score 56.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49%47.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28%69.71%
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03%23.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79%58.21%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03%25.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.01%60.98%
Score Analysis
    Dnipro-1 39.13%
    Desna Chernihiv 35.48%
    Draw 25.37%
Dnipro-1DrawDesna Chernihiv
1-0 @ 8.89%
2-1 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.08%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 39.13%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.22%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 8.39%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 5.66%
1-3 @ 3.63%
2-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 2.54%
1-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 35.48%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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