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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 5
Oct 3, 2020 at 12pm UK
Dnipro Arena

Dnipro-1
2 - 2
Vorskla

Nazarenko (14'), Buletsa (90+5')
Kogut (25'), Ignatenko (52'), Douglas (58'), Tsurikov (73'), Nazarenko (89')
Tsurikov (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kulach (42'), Kane (66')
Kulach (16'), Sklyar (33'), Yakubu (61'), Kane (89')
Sklyar (81'), Kane (90+4')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Dnipro-1 and Vorskla Poltava.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Dnipro-1DrawVorskla Poltava
47.33%26.2%26.47%
Both teams to score 49.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64%54.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26%75.73%
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03%22.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.25%56.75%
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.29%35.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.52%72.48%
Score Analysis
    Dnipro-1 47.32%
    Vorskla Poltava 26.47%
    Draw 26.2%
Dnipro-1DrawVorskla Poltava
1-0 @ 12.06%
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 8.88%
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-0 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 47.32%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 8.2%
2-2 @ 4.71%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.44%
1-2 @ 6.4%
0-2 @ 4.35%
1-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 26.47%


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