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League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
G

Doncaster
1 - 0
Gillingham

Sharp (30')
Sterry (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nevitt (50')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Peterborough
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Gillingham

We anticipate a hard-fought encounter between two of League Two's strongest sides on Saturday, and with home advantage and an abundance of quality, Doncaster Rovers could be the team to end Gillingham's unbeaten start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Doncaster Rovers.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawGillingham
41.54% (-0.277 -0.28) 26.11% (-0.02 -0.02) 32.35% (0.303 0.3)
Both teams to score 53.1% (0.172 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.71% (0.174 0.17)51.28% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.89% (0.153 0.15)73.11% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)24.42% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.15% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)58.84% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25% (0.28800000000001 0.29)29.74% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (0.346 0.35)65.81% (-0.342 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 41.53%
    Gillingham 32.35%
    Draw 26.1%
Doncaster RoversDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 41.53%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.26% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.53% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.34% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Doncaster
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Everton 3-0 Doncaster
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 3-1 Doncaster
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Peterborough
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Chesterfield
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Gillingham
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Gillingham
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swansea 3-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Gillingham 4-1 Carlisle
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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