Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 48.67%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Dundalk win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundalk | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
24.37% ( 0.27) | 26.96% ( 0.27) | 48.67% ( -0.53) |
Both teams to score 45.64% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.5% ( -0.74) | 58.5% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.92% ( -0.58) | 79.08% ( 0.58) |
Dundalk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.16% ( -0.17) | 39.84% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.49% ( -0.16) | 76.51% ( 0.16) |
Shamrock Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.87% ( -0.57) | 24.13% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.56% ( -0.82) | 58.44% ( 0.82) |
Score Analysis |
Dundalk | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.38% Total : 24.37% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 13.67% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 9.72% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.41% Total : 48.67% |
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