SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Kilmarnock |
45.21% ( -0.98) | 24.17% ( 0.05) | 30.62% ( 0.93) |
| Both teams to score 58.84% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.54% ( 0.26) | 43.46% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.14% ( 0.26) | 65.86% ( -0.26) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.6% ( -0.31) | 19.4% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.79% ( -0.5) | 51.21% ( 0.5) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% ( 0.75) | 27% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.65% ( 0.97) | 62.35% ( -0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 45.21% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.05% Total : 30.62% |
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