SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | St Mirren |
35.29% ( -2.01) | 25.47% ( 0.21) | 39.24% ( 1.8) |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.09% ( -1.08) | 47.91% ( 1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.91% ( -1) | 70.09% ( 1.01) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% ( -1.63) | 26.27% ( 1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.61% ( -2.24) | 61.39% ( 2.24) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% ( 0.47) | 24.1% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.61% ( 0.66) | 58.39% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.17)Other @ 3.27% Total : 35.29% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.45)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.24% |
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