SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Livingston |
37.98% ( 0.31) | 27.79% ( 0.19) | 34.22% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 48.31% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.44% ( -0.74) | 57.56% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.66% ( -0.59) | 78.34% ( 0.59) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( -0.18) | 29.31% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.72% ( -0.22) | 65.28% ( 0.22) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.34% ( -0.69) | 31.66% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.93% ( -0.81) | 68.07% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.98% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.22% |
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