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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
May 15, 2021 at 3pm UK
Stangmore Park

Dungannon
1 - 3
Ballymena

Smyth (87')
McGee (45'), McGinty (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Keeley (43'), Millar (55'), Hume (62')
McCartan (38'), McElroy (81')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Ballymena United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 69.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 11.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Dungannon SwiftsDrawBallymena United
11.97%18.44%69.59%
Both teams to score 48.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.04%42.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.63%65.37%
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.22%45.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.45%81.55%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.81%11.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.3%35.7%
Score Analysis
    Dungannon Swifts 11.97%
    Ballymena United 69.58%
    Draw 18.44%
Dungannon SwiftsDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 4%
2-1 @ 3.43%
2-0 @ 1.56%
3-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2%
Total : 11.97%
1-1 @ 8.77%
0-0 @ 5.12%
2-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 18.44%
0-2 @ 12.28%
0-1 @ 11.21%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-3 @ 8.97%
1-3 @ 7.01%
0-4 @ 4.91%
1-4 @ 3.84%
2-3 @ 2.74%
0-5 @ 2.15%
1-5 @ 1.68%
2-4 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 69.58%

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