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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 28, 2020 at 3pm UK
Olimpisky National Sports Complex

Dynamo Kiev
2 - 0
Vorskla

Tsygankov (14'), Verbic (36')
Zabarnyi (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Perduta (3'), Chelyadin (72'), Sklyar (76'), Yavorskyi (87')
Kane (90')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Dynamo Kiev and Vorskla Poltava.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.

Result
Dynamo KievDrawVorskla Poltava
44.19%26.9%28.91%
Both teams to score 49.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.32%55.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.17%76.83%
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95%25.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28%59.73%
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54%34.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82%71.18%
Score Analysis
    Dynamo Kiev 44.19%
    Vorskla Poltava 28.91%
    Draw 26.9%
Dynamo KievDrawVorskla Poltava
1-0 @ 11.95%
2-1 @ 8.81%
2-0 @ 8.27%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.19%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.63%
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 9.2%
1-2 @ 6.78%
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 28.91%


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