Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
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