SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Southend United |
35.35% ( 0.05) | 24.81% ( -0.03) | 39.85% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.29% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.09% ( 0.13) | 44.91% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.74% ( 0.12) | 67.26% ( -0.12) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( 0.09) | 24.83% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.57% ( 0.12) | 59.43% ( -0.12) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.54% ( 0.05) | 22.46% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44% ( 0.07) | 56% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Southend United |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.35% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.85% |
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