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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2021 at 10pm UK
 
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Ecuador
1 - 2
Peru

Plata (90+2')
Caicedo (28'), Dominguez (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cueva (63'), Advincula (88')
Advincula (22'), Lapadula (26'), Aquino (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Peru had a probability of 17.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
EcuadorDrawPeru
58.83%23.89%17.27%
Both teams to score 44.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.09%54.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.8%76.19%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.54%18.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.35%49.64%
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.6%45.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.75%81.25%
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 58.82%
    Peru 17.27%
    Draw 23.89%
EcuadorDrawPeru
1-0 @ 14.15%
2-0 @ 11.96%
2-1 @ 9.45%
3-0 @ 6.74%
3-1 @ 5.32%
4-0 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 2.1%
5-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 58.82%
1-1 @ 11.18%
0-0 @ 8.38%
2-2 @ 3.73%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.62%
1-2 @ 4.42%
0-2 @ 2.61%
1-3 @ 1.16%
2-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 17.27%

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