SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
51.1% ( 0.97) | 27.13% ( 0.03) | 21.77% ( -1) |
| Both teams to score 42.57% ( -1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.93% ( -0.89) | 61.07% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.96% ( -0.67) | 81.05% ( 0.68) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( 0.06) | 24.14% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.55% ( 0.08) | 58.46% ( -0.08) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.12% ( -1.54) | 43.88% ( 1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.98% ( -1.3) | 80.03% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 15.05% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.38)2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 51.09% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.77% |
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